Poland Housing Market Activity

Last updated:

Source: ECB MIR monthly new housing loans and Statistics Poland BDL residential building permit data; mortgage series smoothed with a 3-month moving average and latest overlapping month excluded from the composite.

Source description: Monthly Poland housing market activity indicator based on a weighted combination of 3-month smoothed new mortgage lending and residential building permits, indexed to 2019 = 100. The latest overlapping month is excluded to avoid provisional release-timing distortions.

Table ID: macro_economics/housing/pl_housing_market_activity_monthly

Key findings:

  • Poland housing activity is above its 2019 baseline, giving a more supportive signal for home-related demand.
  • Read alongside Poland Furniture Retail Market Size and Poland Furniture Product Search Trend, housing activity adds context to furniture demand conditions.
  • Recent movement is improving, which points to some easing in housing-market pressure.

Latest data:

datevalue
2025-03-01127.74
2025-04-01128.04
2025-05-01137.85
2025-06-01139.89
2025-07-01160.16
2025-08-01153.65
2025-09-01167.33
2025-10-01170.97
2025-11-01166.28
2025-12-01175.23
2026-01-01152.6
2026-02-01167.96

Methodology: Housing Market Activity Methodology

Poland Housing Market Activity tracks the monthly direction of the residential property cycle and its link to furniture demand, home moves and home-furnishing decisions. It gives furniture retailers, manufacturers and market analysts a focused signal for how housing conditions are evolving in Poland.

Market Context

Poland's housing market is shaped by housing turnover, mortgage availability, interest-rate conditions, household confidence and the pace of residential construction. Changes in smoothed new mortgage lending and building permits can therefore provide an early signal for furniture, kitchen and home-furnishing demand, while excluding the newest overlap month keeps the indicator less exposed to provisional monthly source timing. Related indicators include the Poland Furniture Retail Market Size, which tracks specialist furniture retail activity.


Trend Overview

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